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Yield spread between high-yield (junk) bonds and equivalent Treasuries. The premier measure of credit stress and risk appetite in lower-quality debt. Spikes sharply in recessions and crises. Use for risk-off detection, credit cycle timing, and recession probability models. Daily frequency.
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https://stationfx.com/economic-data/credit-spreads/ice-bofa-us-high-yield-index-option-adjusted-spread
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