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AI and the Labor Market on 2026-08-07: What Has Actually Been Measured, and What Is Only Projected. As of 2026-08-07. The projections here age slowly: the major institutional models were published between 2023 and 2025 and are revised rarely. The measurements are the opposite. Several underlying papers were revised in 2026 and three cited trackers update monthly, so treat every measured number as a reading taken on a date and re-check anything older than two quarters. The important thing to know about this literature is that the disagreement is not between optimists and pessimists. It is betwe

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